Wednesday, January 22, 2014

State Bank Nonsense from Ellen Brown Revisited

I have been thinking a bit more on the George Mason University paper on State Fiscal Conditions. Before I tie this back to Ellen Brown's state bank thesis, here are the pertinent charts once again.

PolicyMic Produced this Chart of State Fiscal Conditions.



Highlights and Lowlights

Let's return to the original working paper for some highlights and lowlights.
At the bottom of the rankings are New Jersey and Illinois. New Jersey faces long-run solvency problems due in part to nearly 15 years of underfunding its state and local pensions. It has an estimated unfunded pension liability of around $25.6 billion as well as $59.3 billion in unfunded liabilities for the health benefits of retired teachers, police, firefighters, and other government workers (State Budget Crisis Task Force 2012).

Illinois has also underfunded its public pensions, resulting in an estimated state retirement system combined unfunded liability of $ 96.8 billion as of 2012 (Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability 22 2013). To cover the costs of its pension obligations, Illinois has also sold bonds to cover its annual contributions — 60 percent of Illinois’ total outstanding debt is in pension bonds (State Budget Crisis Task Force 2012). In essence, Illinois is using long-term debt instruments to meet current year pension obligations.

[In Contrast] Nebraska is constitutionally prohibited from incurring debt. As such, the long-term liabilities reflected in Nebraska’s long-run solvency score are mainly due to claims payable for worker’s compensation, Medicaid claims, and other employee-related items. With no significant bond debt, Nebraska has a much lower long-term liability per capita and a much lower long-term liability ratio than most other states.
Bottom 5 in Long-Term Solvency



In terms of long-term solvency (the most critical issue), New Jersey and Illinois are at the bottom of the heap. Pension plans and union activism are to blame.

All five states at the bottom of the list have one thing in common: they got that way via "progressive" extreme-liberal politics, fueled by union activism, and promises that cannot possibly be met.

Compare to the top five.

Top 5 in Long-Term Solvency



Ellen Brown Revisited

Ellen Brown has made a career promoting the idea North Dakota is doing well because it is the only state with a state run bank.

Here's reality: A number of states are in good shape because of sound fiscal policies.

If you are looking for academic silliness, do a search for Ellen Brown North Dakota State Bank.

Better yet, play this downright scary video

If I only Had a Bank



The idea that North Dakota, a small loosely-populated farm state is in good shape only because it has a state bank is preposterous.

Worse yet, Brown takes that absurd position to the extreme, with a proposal to end the Fed and put California politicians (state politicians in general) in charge of printing money to support union causes.

Ellen Brown understands various problems with the Fed, but proposes a solution that is even worse, putting state politicians in charge of printing presses.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

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